
Image: METAL
Summary
- Matthew Prince said automated traffic passed human traffic in May and could reach 1,000 times human traffic in five years, and he laid out a plan to charge for bot traffic based on HTTP 402.
- From September 15, Cloudflare's free-customer defaults block Google's crawler for AI training, and Prince said Google would be blocked entirely if it does not separate training from search crawling.
- Cloudflare cut about 20 percent of its staff, 1,100 people, in the first half of this year, and investor relations document work shrank from two weeks to three minutes.
Cloudflare chief executive Matthew Prince has laid out a plan to charge for bot traffic as the revenue model for a web where AI bots now outnumber people. In a technology podcast interview released on September 26, he described a system in which bots pay a fraction of a penny each time they read a web page. His argument is that a web that ran on advertising now receives visitors who never see ads, so the way it gets paid has to change too.
The numbers he cited come from Cloudflare's traffic observations. At Web Summit, the European tech event, last November, Prince predicted that automated traffic would overtake human traffic in the second half of 2027, and at South by Southwest in March 2026 he moved that forward to the first half of 2027. Just two months later, in May, he said, the team told him automated traffic had already passed human traffic. While cautioning that every prediction he has made on this has been wrong so far, he said he expects automated traffic to be 1,000 times human traffic five years from now.
The problem is who pays for the infrastructure. "Bots don't click on ads," Prince said, noting that the advertising model that has supported the web for the past 30 years does not work for bots. His answer is HTTP 402, the payment required response that already existed in the early protocols of the web. Cloudflare is working with Coinbase and Stripe on a structure in which bots pay a small amount every time they access content, and the plan is for that money to come from the subscription fees people pay for their AI agents. Metal has previously reported on Cloudflare launching wallets for agent payments.
Cloudflare can set up this market because of where it sits. The company runs thousands of data centers in more than 350 cities and, according to Prince, sits in front of more than 20 percent of the web. He believes that position lets it flip a switch to turn on paid access and kickstart the market. He added that without a price, the tragedy of the commons grows endlessly, with an agent scanning every restaurant menu in town just to pick one place for lunch.
The pressure on Google is specific. Prince said that from September 15, Cloudflare's default settings for free customers block Google's crawler for AI training, and that if Google does not distinguish between AI training and search crawling, it will be blocked across the board. Site owners can easily turn this off, he noted, since only the default changes. He described Google as "like a Marvel character, like the hero of yesterday becomes the villain of tomorrow," but said Google has committed to transparency measures that announce what its crawler is doing and has signaled that procedures introduced in response to a ruling in the United Kingdom will be extended beyond the UK.
The model Prince points to for the future is the music industry. He said the entire music industry was valued at about $8 billion 23 years ago, while Spotify alone sent about $12 billion back to the music ecosystem last year. He also cited a Danish songwriter who earns 40 million euros a year writing songs for Spotify searches that return no good results, after the company began sharing those unfulfilled queries with creators. In his view, what AI companies want to buy is the same kind of gap: new knowledge that nobody had before.
He put numbers on that view as well. Prince claimed that between a major daily newspaper and Reddit, which hold similar amounts of tokens, Reddit gets at least seven times, and by some measures 14 times, more per token. The point is that an irreplaceable record of conversations is worth more than articles anyone can rewrite. He also said the Park Record, the local newspaper in Park City, Utah, that he owns with his wife, will probably make more money from AI licensing deals this year than from digital advertising.
AI has changed Cloudflare internally too. The company cut about 20 percent of its staff, 1,100 people, in the first half of this year and now has between 4,500 and 5,000 employees. Borrowing Peter Drucker's framework, Prince divided staff into people who build, people who sell and people who measure, and said most of those laid off came from the measuring side. Document work that took an investor relations team of about 20 people two weeks before every earnings release now takes three minutes with AI tools. The number of people each manager oversees has gone from about six to roughly eight and is heading toward 12, and the company has open-sourced its internal tool suite, Cloudflare OS. He also said that after the layoffs he received death threats from random people who oppose AI.
Through a tech lawyer's lens, the most striking choice in the interview is technology instead of law. Prince calls himself a recovering intellectual property attorney, yet he said fighting with copyright is a kluge and blocking with technology is much easier. North Korean and Iranian hackers hide, he argued, but AI companies are Delaware corporations and easy to identify. While courts are divided over fair use, a company that fronts 20 percent of the web can shift the center of gravity in negotiations simply by changing a default. Asked about the scale of that power, Prince pointed to customers' ability to leave at any time as the check on it, saying "it takes five minutes to sign up" and "30 seconds to leave." In the interview transcript Metal reviewed, he said the ultimate goal is to move the web from an attention economy that sells rage to an economy that trades in knowledge. Whether a fraction of a penny per bot visit becomes the first price tag of that shift depends on whether Google and the AI companies actually start paying it.





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